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Hawaii (4 Electoral Votes)

Presidential Election Forecast

Chance of Winning

This tells the probability that a candidate will win this state. The higher the chance, the more likely it is.

Projected Vote Share

This is a look at what the vote share could look like on election day using historical data and polling averages.

Chance of Winning Over Time (%)

This shows how the chances of winning have modified over time.

Projected Vote Share Over Time (%)

A look at how the range of the forecasted vote share has changed over the course of time. Dotted lines represent the 90% confidence interval for each candidate.